Found February 23, 2013 on Baseball Professor:
Boston-red-sox
In four seasons from 2008-2011, Roy Halladay‘s worst FIP was 3.06 (2009). In 2011 it was an astounding 2.20 on the strength of a career-best 8.47 K/9 and just a 5.1% HR/FB rate. While the homer rate was fueled by a bit of luck, the strikeouts were completely the result of skill. Honestly, 2011 was probably Halladay’s best professional season.So you want to write him off just because he had a bad season (bad by Halladay’s standards, that is)? It’s true that his velocity was down last year, but it’s also true that he dealt with a strained right shoulder at the end of May. Even though the injury caused him to miss about seven or eight starts, it’s possible that the injury impacted him for the remainder of the season.Halladay’s strikeout rate was still his usual mid-7.00s, but his walk rate rose all the way to 2.07 BB/9! Considering he’d been under 2.00 every year since 2004, that’s a pretty noticeable rise. Still, the down overall walk numbers can almost entirely be attributed to a dis...
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