Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 2/22/13
In 1,064 major league plate appearances, Ben Revere has never hit a homer. THIS IS THE YEAR.After the Phillies lost both Shane Victorino and Juan Pierre to free agency, the roles of “starting center fielder” and “speed guy with zero power” were both left vacant. In steps Revere. I love this acquisition for Philadelphia. Jimmy Rollins serves as the team’s dynamic leadoff hitter, but Revere has phenomenal bat control (career 9.4% strikeout rate) and plenty of speed (74 steals last two seasons combined). Obviously it would be nice if his career ISO was higher than .044, but beggars can’t be choosers. All Philly had to cough up for Revere was a replaceable starting pitcher named Vance Worley.Revere knows he has no power, and he plays to his strength. For his career he’s hit ground balls on 67.7% of balls he’s put in play versus just 13.3% fly balls for a one-sided GB:FB ratio of 5.11. Since entering the league in 2010, that’s easily the highest rate for any player with a minimum of 1,000 plate appearances. Derek Jeter is second over that span at 3.64, Elvis Andrus is third at 2.82, and Jose Tabata is fourth at 2.71. Everybody else has a GB:FB ratio less than half of Revere’s.The Phillies won’t want to let else to patrol center field, not when Revere is among the game’s best baserunners and outfield defenders, so expect plenty of plate appearances, runs, and stolen bases. And, if we’re lucky, a lone homer.At a GlanceStrengths: R, SB, BA, net SBNeutral: OBPWeaknesses: HR, RBI, SLG, OPSPlayer ComparisonsBest-case scenario: 95 R, 2 HR, 45 RBI, 50 SB, .300 BA is in play (no one else really does that)Likely scenario: Ichiro Suzuki (NYY), Juan Pierre (MIA), Alcides Escobar (KC)Worst-case scenario: Emilio Bonifacio (TOR) with zero powerBen Revere 2013 Fantasy ProjectionRevere is inept in anything resembling a power category, so in your standard 5×5 league you had better find a way to reinforce homers and RBI elsewhere. That said, he could bat right around .300 this season in about 600 plate appearances, which would be very valuable. He’s a speed demon with very good efficiency, and the Phillies haven’t had a problem letting their players run so I almost feel comfortable guaranteeing 40 stolen bases. The core of Philadelphia’s lineup isn’t what it used to be, but there are enough run producing options in there to help Revere approach 90 runs.Despite the great strikeout rate, Revere isn’t exactly the most disciplined hitter. Pitchers don”t have to worry about him really getting a piece of a mistake down the middle, so they don’t really nibble the corners. As a result, Revere sees a lot of strikes and very few balls and doesn’t get much of a chance to walk. He’ll be average in OBP leagues with his poor walk rate.Last year Revere finished the year ranked 88th overall, and this year he finds himself in a much better situation (in my opinion). Still, his ADP on Yahoo! is just 161.7 right now, so he’s one of the best players to select as a guy to round out your roster. Go heavy on power early and fill the top of your outfield out with guys like Jay Bruce or Giancarlo Stanton (if he comes at a good price) and then take Revere in all of his speedy glory as a perfect guy to balance your outfield.
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