As I posted earlier, there is a huge difference among mock drafts as to who the Celtics (and everyone else) are going to pick. Of the 38 mock drafts I checked out at the time, there were 17 different players projected as the Celtics pick at 16. With the lottery in the books and teams holding workouts and players moving up and down in scouts' opinions, things will more than likely settle out and there will be a bit more consensus among the mock drafts.
It seems these days that every blog has their own mock draft but among all the mocks, there are a couple that have more credence than the others. Chad Ford's mock draft on ESPN Insider is the big daddy of all the drafts and the one that most people consult. He's not always right (not even close) but he is knowledgeable and has sources and so he comes as close as any. His mock draft 1.0 had the Celtics taking Kelly Olynyk who has moved out of the first round on his current mock. in his mock draft 2.0, he projected the Celtics' pick to be Michael Carter-Williams, whose stock has risen to the point that Ford has him going 7th to the Kings in his current mock.
In mock draft 3.0, he projects that the Celtics will take Dennis Schroeder from Germany with the 16th pick. It's possible that Terrence Williams' legal problems could be influencing Ford's thinking in this one. Danny seemed pretty certain that Williams would be a suitable back up for Rondo at the point. Now, no one is certain about Williams' future with the Celtics. This may figure into Ford's thoughts that the Celtics will pick a point guard at this position rather than a big.
Here is his blurb discussing the pick and a tweet suggesting that Schroeder has a promise from a team:
Analysis: With Rajon Rondo's future up in the air, could the Celtics take the guy who many scouts compare to a young Rondo? Both are quick, long and have huge hands. Both play a frantic style of basketball and both have swagger. The rumors flying around Chicago were that Schroeder had a promise from a team. The Celtics seem like just the sort of team that would try to lock him down.
Hearing first 2 promises of 2013 Draft: Dennis Schroeder & Giannis Antetokounmpo both given 1st round guarantees sources say.
— Chad Ford (@chadfordinsider) May 16, 2013
More on speculation on the promise from Sean Deveney of the Sporting News:
I was curious, so I asked Schroeder about it. “I got an infection in my tooth,” Schroeder explained, pointing to his right cheek. “My dentist said 10 days off, so I take a break. I have had it for a month, it is really bad, it really hurts.”
Whenever someone begs out of workouts because of something like a tooth problem, there is an immediate red flag—Schroeder has, perhaps, received a promise from a team in the first round, and decided it wasn’t necessary to go through the Chicago workouts. He also told me he is not going to the June Euro camp in Treviso, and will stay in the U.S. to work out for teams—which only further raises the suspicion that someone around the middle of the first round has told him he’s their pick.
Now, it’s only May 16, and we have not even had the draft lottery yet, so it is extremely early for teams to be giving out promises. But Schroeder—who has drawn comparisons to Rajon Rondo—has seen his stock soar in the wake of the Nike Hoop Summit, in which he scored 18 points, dished six assists and looked very much like a man among boys.
“I think that helped me a lot,” he told me. “Before the Hoop Summit, nobody knows me. But it helped me a lot, because I played good in the game now the scouts want me to work out.”
Well, they wanted him to work out in Chicago, at least until that toothache got in the way.
Schroeder's player card on ESPN lists his positives and negatives. He's being compared to Rajon Rondo because of his huge wingspan and ball handling and ability to penetrate. One of the negatives is that he is more of a scoring than passing point guard. that certainly doesn't sound like Rajon Rondo. But, it could be a very good balance between the two.
Super quick guard
Great speed in the open court
Huge wingspan for a PG
Excellent ball handler
Aggressive attacking the basket
Solid passer off penetration
Needs to add strength
Basketball IQ could use improvement
More of a scoring than passing PG
Danny has said that he will take the best player available and if Schroeder is it, that opens up some other questions, Does Danny plan on having 2 Rondo's on the team, with Schroeder backing up Rondo or vice versa. Or, will he be looking to trade the current Rondo and then replace him with Schroeder. It does lead to an interesting discussion.
And finally, here is a highlight video of Schroeder from the Nike Hoops Summit.
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