Revisiting Pre-Season Projections: Outfield

With the season over, I am now taking a look back at the pre-season projections I made in March.  A few days ago, I looked at my projections for the starting infield.  Today I will examine the accuracy of my outfield projections. Kyle Blanks: Projection PA HR AVG OBP SLG wOBA UZR WAR 500 22 0.265 0.353 0.465 0.360 -5.0 2.0 Actual PA HR AVG OBP SLG wOBA UZR WAR 120 3 0.157 0.283 0.324 0.281 -0.2 0.0 Blanks was a huge disappointment in 2010, and my projection for him was WAY off.  Prior to the season I wrote: “More so than my other projections, I nudged Blanks’s numbers upwards from what the projection systems forecast.”  I shouldn’t have done that. Scott Hairston Projection PA HR AVG OBP SLG wOBA UZR WAR 445 16 0.257 0.314 0.448 0.331 2.0 1.3 Actual PA HR AVG OBP SLG wOBA UZR WAR 336 10 0.210 0.295 0.346 0.290 0.2...