Originally posted on The Football Fan Spot  |  Last updated 1/5/13

ST. LOUIS - DECEMBER 20: Matt Schaub #8 of the Houston Texans looks for a receiver during the game against the St. Louis Rams at Edward Jones Dome on December 20, 2009 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)
For analysis on Cincinnati http://footballfanspot.com/cincinnati-bengals-wild-card-round-power-rankings-10 For analysis on Houston http://footballfanspot.com/houston-texans-wild-card-round-power-rankings-7 As tempting as it is to go against Matt Schaub, whose team is reeling right now, especially since this is Matt Schaub’s first playoff start (quarterbacks are 5-13 ATS at home in their first playoff start since 2002), I’m going with the Texans. Andy Dalton has only legitimately beaten one playoff team in his career (against a banged up and still inexperienced Washington team that wasn’t as good as they are now). I also feel like this line would have been -7.5 a few weeks ago. I think people are overreacting too much to the Texans’ recent struggles. It’d have to be an even 3 for me to make Houston a significant play, but they should be the right side. Houston Texans 24 Cincinnati Bengals 16 Pick against spread: Houston -4.5 (-110) 1 unit
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