Season Record (3-5)
Absolutely miserable 1-4 record for me last week, but we will bounce back. Don’t lose faith yet.
Giants (-3) vs. Falcons
I’m at the point where the Falcons are going to have to prove it to me. The Giants are coming in with extra rest, are at home, and I’m not sure they aren’t be better team anyways. I’ll lay the points. Hopefully, I’m wrong.
Browns (-7) vs. Bears
The Browns spurned me last weekend, but I’ll double down this Sunday in their matchup against the Bears. Fields is starting, and while that might excite Chicago fans, I don’t think it is conducive to winning right now. I expect the Browns to have a field day against the rookie.
Chiefs (-6.5) vs. Chargers
Chiefs haven’t looked great this season, but neither have the Chargers. I’ll take this line, especially since it just dropped below a touchdown.
Steelers (-3) vs. Bengals
I fear for Joe Burrow‘s life in this one.
Rams (+1.5) vs. Bucs
I never like betting against Brady, but I think the Rams are the better team at this point in the season, and they’re playing at home.
Eagles (+4) at Cowboys
I like what the Eagles have shown me so far this season. They could easily win this game straight up, and I expect it to come down to the last possession.
Season Record: 6-3
Underdogs have feasted in the NFL this season. Beware the favorites.
Falcons @ Giants (u48.5)
As I said on this week’s Talkin’ Birdy, I think this will be a sloppy game with a lot of turnovers. I probably won’t bet this one in actuality. I hate rooting for punts over points, and this game will probably be hard enough to watch as is.
Dolphins @ Raiders (u45.5)
I don’t know how long the Raiders can keep up their hot start, but this feels like a trap game ahead of the Chargers on Monday Night. The Dolphins won’t have Tua, but their offense was terrible with him. They still have a good defense, so I’ll take the under.
Eagles (+4) @ Cowboys
In classic NFC East fashion, the team that everyone thought would finish last in Philly has been the best so far. This is a big test for Nick Sirianni and Jalen Hurts.
Buccaneers @ Rams (o56)
This game is going to be awesome; therefore, I will take the over and root for fun.
Jets @ Broncos (-10.5)
This is the only favorite I’m riding this week; if you thought what Bill Belichick did to Zach Wilson was bad, wait until he meets Vic Fangio.
Season Record (4-4)
Cowboys vs. Eagles (Over 51.5)
I think the Eagles are better than most believe they are. Outside of a few drives that stalled in the red zone, Philadelphia hung with the 49ers last week. This Cowboys offense is the real deal, so they won’t have trouble scoring on Philly’s stingy defense. The Dallas defense is still as bad as ever; take the over.
Rams vs. Buccanneers (Over 56)
The Bucs defense isn’t close to what it was last year at the end of the regular season and through the playoffs. The public is all over Tampa Bay, but I think the play is the over. Besides, who wants to watch one of the best games of the season and root for punts?
Raiders vs. Dolphins (+4.5)
Everything tells you the Raiders should be able to handle the Dolphins, but with the way Brian Flores coaches, this could be a potential upset. Miami outright might be worth the sprinkle, but take the points because Flores will have his guys ready to play.
Panthers (-7.5) at Texans
The Panthers are better than people think. Joe Brady and Matt Rhule have completely turned Sam Darnold around, and the offense is humming. With Davis Mills starting, I expect the Carolina defensive front to have a major impact in this game.
Jaguars (+7.5) vs Cardinals
The key to NFL betting is taking what you think you know and throwing it out the window. Vegas is so locked in, and you gotta take what they’re telling you. Everyone thinks the Cardinals are unbeatable now; that’s why they’re getting tons of public money. The Jags will put the pieces together here soon, and the Cards won’t continue to play at this high level forever. I’m gonna fade the public and take the Jags at home. I won’t be surprised if they win this game outright. Call me crazy. I’ve been called worse.
Dolphins (+4) at Raiders
Again, call me crazy. Underdogs have been profitable so far this season and the Dolphins are a good team even without Tua. They got murdered last weekend and will try to get back to their winning ways against a Raiders team that has played above their standards and will have a quarterback who I’m not sure is 100%. I’m going to fade the public and follow the sharps on this one, especially since I’m getting more than a field goal. I like seeing the public ride Las Vegas off a big win, but I love the Dolphins in a bounce back spot.
Eagles (+4) at Cowboys
Back again with the underdogs. It’s simple. Public loves the Cowboys, and I get more than a field goal in a primetime game that is usually close. Sign me up.